Second Opinion · a PayBox plugin

Same bet.
Two prices.

The same outcome often trades on World, Kalshi and Polymarket at once. Half the time World is within about half a cent of the best price, and nine times in ten within 1.6¢. I built a PayBox plugin so your agent pays a cent to catch the ones that aren't, before it buys.

This preview is free and needs no wallet. It asks Kalshi and Polymarket live, and uses World's price from my last snapshot (16 Oct, 11:43 UTC). Inside PayBox, your agent sends World's live price and pays 0.01 USDC.

SECOND OPINION#0000
Waiting for a market
World marketPick one on the left
WORLD...
KALSHI...
POLYMARKET...
PREMIUM...
AFTER THEIR FEES...
WORLD'S USUAL0.56¢ MEDIAN
VERDICT...
RULES
World's own resolution text appears here.
ORACLE
Chainlink data, 5-minute dispute window
CLOSES
...

Free preview · World price from snapshot
In PayBox: live World price, 0.01 USDC on Base

Most stretched at last scan
Loading the last scan...

01 · Inside PayBox

How your agent
uses it

Second Opinion is a PayBox plugin. Your agent calls it right before it buys a YES on World. Each check costs one cent.

  1. STEP 1

    Find the outcome

    Your agent finds the market and its live YES price with PayBox's World plugin.

  2. STEP 2

    Ask for a second opinion

    It calls Second Opinion's second_opinion tool with the World ticker and that price.

    second_opinion({
      world_ticker: "WXPRESWIN-28-GNEW",
      world_yes_ask: 0.1055
    })
  3. STEP 3

    Approve one cent

    PayBox shows a 0.01 USDC approval. You approve with your passkey. The receipt comes back, and the agent buys, waits, or sets a lower price.

Say this to your agent

Before you buy Newsom YES on World, get a Second Opinion.

02 · Measured on 793 outcomes

The number

I matched every World outcome I could to the same outcome on Kalshi or Polymarket. Then I measured how far World's YES price sat above the cheapest one. Most of the time the gap is small.

793World outcomes matched
0.56¢median premium, before fees
1.56¢90th percentile
49outcomes 2¢ or more over
World's YES premium over the cheapest other venue, in cents. Past the red line is roughly where Second Opinion starts to say STRETCHED.

Kalshi and Polymarket charge buyers a taker fee on top of their price. World doesn't, because its cost is already in the quote. With those fees added:

408of 793 outcomes where World is the cheapest after fees
−0.05¢median premium after fees
28still 2¢ or more over after fees

On the 49 outcomes that are 2¢ or more over before fees, a buyer pays a median of about $20 more per $100 than on the cheaper venue.

Method. World quotes come from the PayBox World plugin. Kalshi and Polymarket quotes come from their public APIs. I only compare the same outcome with the same resolution period, and I leave out the 23 pairs where Kalshi and Polymarket disagree by more than 3¢, because that usually means the rules differ. The verdict compares YES asks. The after-fees view adds Kalshi's taker fee (0.07 × p × (1 − p) per share) and Polymarket's (its category rate, 0 to 0.07, × p × (1 − p)), using World's category for Polymarket's; Kalshi's rounding up to the cent per order is left out. Snapshot 16 Oct 2026, 11:43 UTC.

03 · Paid runs on Base

Proof it runs

Real checks from my own PayBox account, paid in USDC on Base through x402. In the last four, my agent took World's live price from PayBox's World plugin first.

UTCMarketVerdictBase transactionCheck
16 Oct 15:58Newsom YES, 2028STRETCHED0x970adb03…8b8aCheck on Base
16 Oct 16:04Newsom YES, 2028STRETCHED0x872e1d37…4c3bCheck on Base
16 Oct 16:24Newsom YES, 2028, live World askSTRETCHED0xf46b8dc6…a6a7Check on Base
17 Oct 07:17Karen Bass YES, LA mayor, live World askFAIR PRICE0xfe217631…3300Check on Base
17 Oct 13:53Karen Bass YES, approved in PayBoxFAIR PRICE0xfdfbb39b…5a70Check on Base
17 Oct 13:54Then Claude raised a $1 Karen Bass YES buy through PayBox's World pluginORDER RAISEDWorld's region check blocked it from the UK before I could sign. Nothing spent.
17 Oct 13:57Karen Bass YES, approved in PayBoxFAIR PRICE0xf926e239…4609Check on Base
PayBox developer portal: Second Opinion submitted, checks passed, 3 tools
Submitted in PayBox's developer portal, checks passed, 3 tools.